Conservatives leapfrog Reform UK as top pollster suggests 'tectonic plates are shifting' on British right
Sources in Kemi Badenoch's party accused Reform of 'letting Labour off the hook'
TL;DR
- The Conservatives have surpassed Reform UK in a key poll measuring opposition to Labour.
- This is the first time the Tories have led on this measure since May last year.
- Reform UK had previously held a significant lead over the Conservatives on this metric.
- Ipsos suggests a 'political environment that continues to be in flux' and notes the 'Burnham bounce'.
- Conservative sources accuse Reform UK of 'letting Labour off the hook' and highlight the Tories' 'common-sense plan'.
- Reform UK sources express concern about a potential drop to 15% in polls next month.
- Reform UK faces scrutiny due to police investigations into donations and a racism/sexism scandal.
- Nigel Farage is under parliamentary investigation regarding an undeclared gift.
- A Reform UK MP was caught on camera describing her party as 'so f***ing chauvinistic'.
- The Conservative party conference featured pledges on inheritance tax, prison places, and employment for those on benefits.
- Voter likelihood of Kemi Badenoch becoming Prime Minister has increased but remains modest.
- Perceptions of Nigel Farage's prospects of leading the country have declined.