Will Trump relaunch his war on Iran after the midterm elections?

Reports have suggested a vulnerable president could start a new bombing campaign. But that wouldn’t bring a deal any closer

Will Trump relaunch his war on Iran after the midterm elections?

TL;DR

  • Speculation surrounds Donald Trump's potential to restart a large-scale war against Iran after the US midterm elections.
  • Leaked plans suggest joint US-Israeli military strikes targeting Iran's nuclear facilities, missile arsenals, and civilian infrastructure.
  • Trump may have less to lose politically after the midterms, especially if Republicans face losses.
  • A renewed bombing campaign is unlikely to force Iran into concessions or bring Trump closer to declaring victory.
  • The article references a previous US-Israeli bombing campaign that began in February, which led to Iranian retaliation, closing the Strait of Hormuz, and increasing global energy prices.
  • Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is reportedly urging Trump to restart bombing after the midterms for his own political survival.
  • Negotiations via Qatar have explored an interim deal involving the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for lifting port blockades and releasing frozen assets.
  • Deep mistrust exists between the US and Iran, exacerbated by Trump's wavering threats and promises.
  • A significant Republican defeat in the midterms could lead Trump to take bold, vengeful action, potentially targeting civilian infrastructure and constituting war crimes.
  • The article notes that the previous war resulted in the appointment of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's son, Mojtaba, as the new supreme leader, and expanded the influence of hardliners.